Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 6.350990 7.409140 8.553924 9.880184 11.369913 12.987091 14.870775
2025-12-28 5.006546 6.431648 8.092244 10.153293 12.624649 15.474145 18.988219
2026-01-04 4.173193 5.777625 7.756244 10.340988 13.590349 17.499916 22.515363
2026-01-11 3.525442 5.212422 7.397588 10.378751 14.276574 19.132117 25.561514
2026-01-18 2.910210 4.583409 6.854159 10.079767 14.451383 20.070049 27.722007
2026-01-25 2.445485 4.088126 6.416431 9.848382 14.652535 21.000910 29.862470
2026-02-01 2.059037 3.648358 5.997533 9.583814 14.757974 21.772542 31.786714
2026-02-08 1.746159 3.274905 5.627848 9.341510 14.853164 22.504305 33.654580
2026-02-15 1.471031 2.921793 5.246694 9.038075 14.821406 23.033852 35.238365
2026-02-22 1.315734 2.747318 5.122717 9.105576 15.322306 24.318072 37.903647
2026-03-01 1.174777 2.577912 4.987142 9.137109 15.759210 25.514782 40.473469
2026-03-08 1.059022 2.438148 4.884921 9.208228 16.250659 26.799101 43.201316
2026-03-15 0.943643 2.285135 4.747709 9.214450 16.644985 27.962957 45.810486
2026-03-22 0.879200 2.224240 4.766524 9.481278 17.463752 29.793268 49.462916
2026-03-29 0.809341 2.141970 4.737115 9.659018 18.140557 31.424046 52.860386
2026-04-05 0.729511 2.026350 4.633105 9.694741 18.578642 32.693237 55.741083
2026-04-12 0.623735 1.835639 4.364630 9.412001 18.460769 33.075637 57.263449
2026-04-19 0.538290 1.677161 4.142083 9.193246 18.433455 33.590987 58.995390
2026-04-26 0.461009 1.524309 3.913714 8.943185 18.332238 33.974148 60.520219
2026-05-03 0.395486 1.388717 3.705972 8.714230 18.250603 34.377862 62.079072
2026-05-10 0.334279 1.251880 3.479212 8.427599 18.044374 34.559075 63.275454
2026-05-17 0.304063 1.196456 3.428673 8.491353 18.480572 35.830088 66.270480
2026-05-24 0.274756 1.137930 3.364510 8.521137 18.852015 36.999035 69.124803